0xC79A987bFe50a7bB5634c0113CA21e1BB8789B44-1763875834458

Elections 0% +$0 $110 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	14¢	18¢	+$0	—
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	18¢	18¢	+$0	—

Politics 0% $-21 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-21	loss

Economy 0% $-34 $34 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	0¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Other 0% $-160 $160 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	48¢	0¢	$-50	loss
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	46¢	0¢	$-60	loss
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	24¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Crypto 0% $-222 $222 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Solana reach $90 March 30-April 5?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-123	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 24?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 24?	No	22¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Geopolitics 29% $-297 $2,491 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	5¢	1¢	$-456	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	18¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	35¢	36¢	+$2	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	18¢	38¢	+$105	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-5	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	0¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	78¢	10¢	$-258	loss
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	33¢	100¢	+$150	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$592	win