Win rate
80.0%
4 W / 1 L
Total PnL
$15
realized $-1,155 · unrealized $1,170
Portfolio
$1,170
volume $33,575
Predictions
75
0.6/day · avg $448
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$17 | win |
Sports 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (10)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96.4¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $785 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $136 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22.3¢ | 25¢ | +$17 | $1,160 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,152 | 07/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95.1¢ | 95¢ | $-2 | $1,172 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 87.7¢ | 86¢ | +$3 | $1,169 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.4¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | $1,064 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94.7¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $1,152 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.5¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $1,046 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |