Win rate
57.4%
113 W / 84 L
Total PnL
$-18,391
realized $-22,185 · unrealized $3,794
Portfolio
$3,794
volume $502,987
Predictions
247
3.0/day · avg $2,036
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 78% +$7,183
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 79¢ | 71¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$3 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | win |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 64¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | — |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$208 | win |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-1,504 | loss |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Elections 88% +$422
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18¢ | 37¢ | +$211 | win |
| Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Politics 100% +$197
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris | Aleksandar Vukic | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$111
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | $-163 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-210 | loss |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Senators | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-341 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Finance 58% $-1,942
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 73¢ | $-297 | loss |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-307 | loss |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar | Madison Keys | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-612 | loss |
| Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-1,074 | loss |
Crypto 20% $-8,156
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4AM ET | Up | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-405 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-2,560 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-3,516 | loss |
Tech 0% $-8,684
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-8,028 | loss |
Other 38% $-12,823
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 75¢ | 72¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 49¢ | 32¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 87¢ | 77¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-604 | loss |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti | Corentin Moutet | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-849 | loss |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | loss |
| Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic | Dino Prizmic | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac | Rafael Jodar | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$322 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 64.0¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | $324 | 19/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$208 | $300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | $876 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | $983 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 84.5¢ | 0¢ | $-604 | $604 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,504 | $1,504 | 16/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 57.6¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flames | Flames | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Heat | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $400 | 12/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | Panthers | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $350 | 11/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $700 | 11/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti | Corentin Moutet | 53.2¢ | 0¢ | $-849 | $849 | 10/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Suns | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | $600 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $400 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $600 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar | Madison Keys | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $1,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | $375 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic | Dino Prizmic | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 09/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$905 | $2,061 | 08/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$425 | $1,537 | 08/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac | Rafael Jodar | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$322 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoor | Tallon Griekspoor | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Washington Nationals | 90.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,500 | $1,500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$857 | $2,000 | 07/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Celtics | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | $400 | 05/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Nets | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $600 | 05/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $425 | 05/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bucks | Bucks | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $500 | 05/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Rangers | Rangers | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $704 | 04/04/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Flyers | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | $1,499 | 03/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Kings | Kings | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $500 | 02/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Ducks | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 02/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Lehecka | Martin Landaluce | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 01/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Canadiens | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$428 | $1,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Sabres | Sabres | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | $350 | 31/03/2026 |
| Morelia: Robin Catry vs Tristan Schoolkate | Tristan Schoolkate | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $711 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $451 | 31/03/2026 |
| Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Justin Boulais | Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $155 | 31/03/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Cavaliers | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $330 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $250 | 31/03/2026 |
| Yokkaichi: Yuta Shimizu vs Jie Cui | Jie Cui | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Ducks | Ducks | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 61.7¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Senators | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-341 | $350 | 31/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | Lightning | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-380 | $380 | 31/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $400 | 30/03/2026 |