0xC6eC7B281e03690cdBe20FF297f611198d5E8335-1771531276688

Elections 83% +$11 $146 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	No	90¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	90¢	98¢	+$4	win
Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	92¢	99¢	+$2	win

Politics 86% +$9 $166 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Culture 50% +$2 $52 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	No	92¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 100% +$1 $21 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	No	92¢	96¢	+$1	win

Finance 100% +$0 $38 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?	No	92¢	92¢	+$0	win

Tech 75% $-6 $88 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $200?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 on April 7?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $175?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 30 above $360?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-10	loss

Sports 80% $-12 $102 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	89¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Houston Astros vs. Athletics	Athletics	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Thunder	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Esports 60% $-24 $105 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season	Mandatory	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs MAGICOS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	ShindeN	92¢	50¢	$-10	loss
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season	Joblife	91¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: Blitzkrieg vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	UNO MILLE	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Valorant: Fennel vs WEC C (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2	Fennel	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 71% $-28 $925 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?	No	92¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 9-12%?	No	92¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?	No	92¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	92¢	99¢	+$2	win
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	92¢	3¢	$-21	loss
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17?	No	92¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-04-16?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-14?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-13?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win

Mentions 80% $-67 $349 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	91¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	88¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	86¢	3¢	$-35	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	91¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 55% $-186 $1,287 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 23?	No	91¢	86¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 21?	No	92¢	78¢	$-4	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 21?	No	91¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 20?	No	92¢	57¢	$-39	loss
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 13-19?	No	91¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?	No	91¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?	No	92¢	55¢	$-10	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 20?	No	92¢	68¢	$-6	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 19?	No	91¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 19?	No	92¢	99¢	+$2	win