Win rate
77.5%
784 W / 227 L
Total PnL
$2,326
realized $1,599 · unrealized $727
Portfolio
$727
volume $1,114,852
Predictions
1,439
23.0/day · avg $775
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 64% +$5,253
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 43¢ | 66¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 8¢ | 80¢ | +$3,671 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 36¢ | 10¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 57¢ | 50¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
Other 74% +$796
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | Yes | 77¢ | 65¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | No | 86¢ | 68¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | Yes | 89¢ | 86¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 84% +$229
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Copa Colsanitas: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Pareja | Julieta Pareja | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Dominican Rep. vs. Netherlands | Dominican Rep. | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaragua | Netherlands | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Netherlands | Venezuela | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
Finance 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Bondioli | Daniel Altmaier | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 67% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36¢ | 27¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 67¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Economy 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Culture 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 66¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 85% $-140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Marco Cecchinato | Sebastian Ofner | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Israel | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Netherlands | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Dominican Rep. | Dominican Rep. | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Israel | Venezuela | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 78% $-3,700
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 7¢ | 2¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 77¢ | 96¢ | $-26 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | St. Louis Cardinals | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics | Athletics | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Cleveland Guardians | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $755 | 18/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $599 | 18/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $407 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Chicago White Sox | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $289 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $41 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5) | Colorado Rockies | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $460 | 18/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $35 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) | San Francisco Giants | 92.7¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $1,900 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $88 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) | Milwaukee Brewers | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $1,824 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) | Seattle Mariners | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 16/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $117 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs? | Yes | 63.2¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,208 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,592 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) | Tampa Bay Rays | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $320 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 82.7¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $42 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Toronto Blue Jays | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $218 | 14/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $55 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | Minnesota Twins | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $607 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $210 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | Chicago Cubs | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $241 | 14/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 73.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Milwaukee Brewers | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $395 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Lakers | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $698 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5) | Pittsburgh Pirates | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $214 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) | Baltimore Orioles | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-5.5) | Baltimore Orioles | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |