loser326

Sports 76% +$2,301 $68,799 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-244	loss
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov	Mmoh	93¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?	No	94¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will monthly inflation be 3.0% or higher in November?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 93% +$1,397 $526,425 vol · 216 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	61¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	No	89¢	100¢	+$118	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 20?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$28	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 88% +$831 $66,104 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$202	win
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	95¢	97¢	+$54	win
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	34¢	7¢	$-65	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	No	24¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on April 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $350 on April 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on April 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Meta (META) close above $550 on April 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 93% +$302 $75,090 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	No	82¢	100¢	+$22	win

Economy 91% +$247 $24,836 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$21	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$131	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$24	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-100	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$44	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win

Esports 100% +$83 $1,902 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	Vitality	94¢	100¢	+$14	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	Vitality	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Zomblers - Map 2 Winner	Marsborne	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	FURIA	97¢	100¢	+$26	win
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Outfit 49 (BO3)	Voca	88¢	100¢	+$12	win
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)	Team Spirit	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)	Vitality	87¢	100¢	+$15	win

Culture 83% +$18 $17,080 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$332	win
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Politics 86% $-8 $237,965 vol · 155 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	72¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	28¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-155	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-10,922	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	98¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?	No	38¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	92¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$71	win
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win

Finance 88% $-14 $1,952 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?	Down	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Ryanair say "Holiday" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	94¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?	No	95¢	100¢	+$6	win

Elections 77% $-140 $104,675 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4¢	1¢	$-144	loss
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-186	loss
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$11	win

Weather 79% $-390 $9,252 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	Yes	97¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 18?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 26?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will fewer than 20 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will a hurricane form by September 30?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on September 18?	No	44¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	94¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Other 88% $-3,339 $545,394 vol · 483 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the US strike Yemen next?	No	25¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	79¢	86¢	+$30	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the US strike Syria next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	79¢	82¢	+$10	win
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	93¢	89¢	$-20	loss

Geopolitics 90% $-7,544 $1,008,789 vol · 187 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	25¢	0¢	$-199	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	51¢	84¢	+$81	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	83¢	88¢	+$10	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	73¢	96¢	+$27	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	95¢	9¢	$-785	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	38¢	0¢	$-2,358	loss