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0xc636bad91E7d4259907683a5e2e6fb19c5B85ef9-1769440088092
0xc636bad91e7d4259907683a5e2e6fb19c5b85ef9 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
45.2%
14 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$-2,759
realized $-6,062 · unrealized $3,303
Portfolio
$3,303
volume $58,389
Predictions
34
0.3/day · avg $1,717
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Culture 75% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 40% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
Politics 50% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 60¢ | 55¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Neil Khot be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Elections 33% $-376
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-335 | loss |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Sports 33% $-398
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | Yes | 49¢ | 7¢ | $-323 | loss |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 50¢ | 31¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
Other 38% $-1,998
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$744 | win |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-1,362 | loss |
Recent Trades (31)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 65.4¢ | 100¢ | +$173 | $327 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | No | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$325 | $1,175 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | $223 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $28 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Neil Khot be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $67 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $62 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $33 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 62.8¢ | 100¢ | +$744 | $1,256 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $77 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | 85.6¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $342 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $742 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-335 | $335 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $154 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million? | No | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-323 | $326 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | No | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,076 | $126 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,362 | $1,394 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 99¢ | +$85 | $3,146 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $161 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 49.9¢ | 31¢ | $-107 | $293 | 18/05/2026 |
| Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | Yes | 93.3¢ | 92¢ | $-35 | $2,091 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | Yes | 48.8¢ | 7¢ | $-323 | $345 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 55¢ | $-43 | $300 | 31/12/2026 |