Win rate
69.5%
301 W / 132 L
Total PnL
$1,470
realized $-725 · unrealized $2,194
Portfolio
$2,194
volume $88,616
Predictions
443
6.2/day · avg $200
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 69% +$1,336
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 36¢ | 39¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 45¢ | 30¢ | $-369 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 43¢ | 42¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Other 64% +$194
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$28 | win |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 62¢ | +$51 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: January | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Fed rate cut in 2025? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| US government shutdown in 2025? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-251 | loss |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$318 | win |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| US strikes Yemen by September 30? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
Finance 100% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Weather 67% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Economy 75% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
Tech 75% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| OpenAI social app in 2025? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | loss |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
Politics 50% $-70
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
Geopolitics 83% $-191
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-335 | loss |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 43.0¢ | 42¢ | $-1 | $50 | 19/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $80 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 71.6¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $70 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $70 | 13/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Lakers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $150 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 42.1¢ | 100¢ | $-61 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Lakers | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $60 | 11/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $120 | 11/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $130 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Warriors | 76.1¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Pistons | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $80 | 10/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Knicks | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $60 | 10/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Heat | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $150 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Celtics | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | 76ers | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 10/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Pacers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $60 | 09/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Heat | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 09/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 34.3¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 09/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $60 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $80 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Timberwolves | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Hawks | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Hornets | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 08/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 26.8¢ | 100¢ | +$645 | $300 | 07/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Timberwolves | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Cavaliers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Heat | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 07/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Rockets | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $70 | 06/04/2026 |