Bronzi

Sports 50% +$228 $2,829 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?	Yes	89¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$199	win
HasanAbi unbanned from Twitch by Thursday?	No	79¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Economy 89% +$113 $2,176 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	No	75¢	74¢	$-5	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	64¢	100¢	+$40	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$9	win

Finance 100% +$42 $260 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will U.S. Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$20	win

Tech 75% $-7 $700 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	77¢	22¢	$-83	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	No	72¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$31	win

Other 83% $-83 $12,642 vol · 76 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	55¢	34¢	$-75	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	82¢	$-0	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	53¢	47¢	$-14	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	39¢	36¢	+$8	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	87¢	93¢	+$7	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	94¢	99¢	+$10	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	85¢	64¢	$-25	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	71¢	99¢	+$47	win

Politics 73% $-240 $5,362 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	82¢	92¢	+$3	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	76¢	84¢	+$24	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	86¢	92¢	+$18	win
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	93¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?	No	84¢	0¢	$-257	loss
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win

Culture 50% $-251 $756 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	87¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 36m?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?	No	92¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?	No	66¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-64	loss

Elections 50% $-258 $2,707 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	69¢	64¢	$-10	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	No	74¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-209	loss
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel	Crawford	85¢	100¢	+$11	win

Geopolitics 79% $-330 $6,641 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	70¢	84¢	+$58	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	96¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	84¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	No	96¢	100¢	+$15	win
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	95¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	86¢	0¢	$-321	loss

Crypto 74% $-765 $30,328 vol · 127 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	6¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?	No	86¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?	No	54¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	13¢	0¢	$-119	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	56¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	No	94¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?	No	79¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win