Win rate
29.4%
25 W / 60 L
Total PnL
$-540
realized $-1,797 · unrealized $1,258
Portfolio
$1,258
volume $178,525
Predictions
97
1.8/day · avg $1,840
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 19% +$1,199
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Utah vs. Wild | Wild | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks | Blue Jackets | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$1,044 | win |
Politics 5% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 80% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Culture 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 0% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Team WE | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
Other 27% $-1,652
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5) | Alabama Crimson Tide | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-1,432 | loss |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State Spartans | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5) | Alabama Crimson Tide | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,432 | $1,432 | 27/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $109 | 25/03/2026 |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State Spartans | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $115 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $97 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,054 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,154 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,209 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,341 | 15/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Wild | Wild | 59.9¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $78 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 09/03/2026 |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $112 | 08/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $85 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07? | No | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $136 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $153 | 03/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Team WE | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 12? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 10? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 03/02/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks | Blue Jackets | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,044 | $1,441 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,191 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,095 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,268 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,461 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $873 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,300 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,759 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,317 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $644 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,074 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,123 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,301 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,303 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,316 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,409 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,413 | 20/07/2026 |