Win rate
61.5%
8 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$7
realized $-543 · unrealized $550
Portfolio
$550
volume $7,552
Predictions
31
0.5/day · avg $244
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 40% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 75% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (23)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $198 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $179 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $23 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $67 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $21 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 89.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $27 | 30/09/2025 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 74.4¢ | 77¢ | +$7 | $544 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $543 | 07/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 94.9¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | $549 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $21 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83.8¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $550 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 93.4¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | $544 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $26 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 96.3¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $27 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $28 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $53 | 07/11/2028 |