Win rate
78.1%
185 W / 52 L
Total PnL
$-11,351
realized $-29,127 · unrealized $17,775
Portfolio
$17,775
volume $297,198
Predictions
333
8.0/day · avg $892
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 83% +$2,098
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026? | No | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$104 | win |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? | No | 7¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 63¢ | 57¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$735 | win |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$1,022 | win |
Elections 67% +$1,034
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | No | 89¢ | 14¢ | $-558 | loss |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$1,016 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$236 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 62¢ | 1¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Politics 69% +$799
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 61¢ | 60¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 82¢ | +$62 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 24¢ | 12¢ | $-16 | loss |
Economy 100% +$270
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | No | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$270 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 70¢ | $-29 | loss |
Weather 33% $-143
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 36¢ | 1¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Mentions 50% $-1,503
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 38¢ | 39¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,514 | loss |
Crypto 80% $-18,747
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30? | No | 68¢ | 98¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-2,800 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19? | No | 85¢ | 65¢ | $-502 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? | No | 91¢ | 79¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 17? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$748 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$500 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 16? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-1,225 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-3,808 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-247 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 17? | No | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$748 | $1,898 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16? | No | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$500 | $1,552 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | No | 37.2¢ | 100¢ | +$270 | $160 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 16? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $372 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17? | No | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2,060 | $2,143 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? | No | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $-738 | $779 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | No | 81.2¢ | 0¢ | $-3,808 | $3,857 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 52.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,514 | $1,548 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | $2,204 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? | No | 70.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,225 | $1,252 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17? | No | 70.2¢ | 0¢ | $-247 | $252 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $82 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 35.7¢ | 1¢ | $-93 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 68.4¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 16? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | $2,472 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$408 | $2,169 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 15? | No | 59.8¢ | 100¢ | +$336 | $501 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 15? | No | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $1,107 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 15? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $340 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $88 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | No | 55.3¢ | 0¢ | $-631 | $631 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-271 | $285 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | No | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $104 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$615 | $3,858 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | $1,562 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 67.4¢ | 100¢ | +$227 | $470 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 14? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $571 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 13? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$251 | $1,394 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14? | No | 82.4¢ | 0¢ | $-888 | $888 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 13? | No | 80.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,374 | $1,374 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14? | No | 87.3¢ | 0¢ | $-2,249 | $2,249 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 13? | No | 70.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2,430 | $2,430 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12? | No | 77.4¢ | 100¢ | +$579 | $1,980 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$319 | $744 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $921 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $962 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 12? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $440 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $287 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 12? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $149 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $91 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13? | No | 68.2¢ | 0¢ | $-3,977 | $3,977 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 63.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,022 | $1,789 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 65.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,016 | $1,895 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? | No | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$221 | $1,342 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 11? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $351 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $403 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 12? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$236 | $1,269 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 62.0¢ | 1¢ | $-23 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |