Win rate
53.3%
8 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$-43
realized $-1,283 · unrealized $1,240
Portfolio
$1,240
volume $5,207
Predictions
161
3.5/day · avg $32
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Culture 100% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
Tech 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Other 60% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 61¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 80¢ | 71¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Elections 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 37¢ | 37¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 45¢ | 45¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Sports 33% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 43¢ | 40¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 78¢ | 69¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Spurs | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 0% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $75 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 58.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 08/02/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | Spurs | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 05/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 77.9¢ | 69¢ | $-8 | $70 | 18/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | $30 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 79.5¢ | 71¢ | $-3 | $30 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 61.0¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | $25 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 45¢ | $-0 | $25 | 21/06/2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 43.2¢ | 40¢ | $-11 | $150 | 19/07/2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 36.8¢ | 37¢ | +$1 | $375 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 56.6¢ | 60¢ | +$26 | $375 | 04/10/2026 |