BetterFish

Other 81% +$7,631 $423,956 vol · 761 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	28¢	7¢	$-42	loss
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	93¢	96¢	+$36	win
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	73¢	90¢	+$29	win
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	39¢	36¢	+$1	win
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	$-2	loss
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?	No	99¢	99¢	+$1	win
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	70¢	66¢	$-4	loss
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	97¢	98¢	+$14	win

Politics 75% +$6,960 $286,763 vol · 845 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	61¢	61¢	+$16	win
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-315	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-114	loss
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	7¢	8¢	+$1	win
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?	No	92¢	96¢	+$10	win
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	86¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	60¢	84¢	+$88	win
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	41¢	92¢	+$8	win

Tech 81% +$3,668 $23,131 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$77	win
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$123	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	10¢	0¢	+$28	win
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9?	No	25¢	100¢	+$226	win
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?	No	74¢	0¢	$-424	loss
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will S&P Global say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 81% +$3,340 $53,842 vol · 190 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	47¢	58¢	+$10	win
Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?	No	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will a 10 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?	No	93¢	100¢	+$103	win
Will Tennessee be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 74% +$1,996 $120,128 vol · 246 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82¢	84¢	+$12	win
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	Yes	77¢	68¢	$-13	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	38¢	100¢	+$486	win
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$391	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	37¢	0¢	$-669	loss
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-841	loss
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be less than 3%?	No	50¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	86¢	100¢	+$57	win

Weather 64% +$499 $9,343 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Palisades fire burn between 20-30k acres in total?	No	3¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?	No	32¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?	No	15¢	100¢	+$238	win
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?	No	97¢	100¢	+$197	win
Will there be more than 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	No	99¢	100¢	$-95	loss
Will there be less than 11 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will RFK Jr. say "climate change" during Friday address?	No	64¢	100¢	+$31	win

Economy 100% +$408 $1,365 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	7¢	13¢	+$19	win
Will Powell say "Recession" during October press conference?	No	92¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	No	44¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?	No	79¢	100¢	+$81	win
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$128	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?	No	49¢	100¢	+$54	win

Culture 80% +$402 $16,459 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Bad Bunny win 4 Grammys?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "ICE" be said at the Grammys?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will any game win 3 awards at the Steam Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$718	win
Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	67¢	0¢	$-213	loss

Geopolitics 74% +$206 $72,947 vol · 96 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	No	77¢	100¢	+$309	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	98¢	100¢	+$89	win
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	71¢	84¢	+$21	win
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$50	win
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	65¢	38¢	$-1,006	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	81¢	72¢	$-275	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Military action against Iran ends before April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 100% +$84 $516 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 1-20 tries?	No	86¢	100¢	+$84	win

Mentions 88% +$81 $4,848 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?	No	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?	Yes	5¢	100¢	+$424	win
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?	No	96¢	0¢	$-276	loss
Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?	No	92¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times October 18-25?	No	38¢	0¢	$-288	loss
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?	No	86¢	100¢	+$11	win

Finance 85% +$50 $3,711 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P Global say "ESG" or "Sustainable" during earnings call?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-36	loss
Will ON Semiconductor say "AMD" during earnings call?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?	No	68¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will FedEx say "De Minimis" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?	No	3¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Palantir say "Commercial Growth" during earnings call?	No	72¢	0¢	$-414	loss
Will FBI send Pam Bondi the full Epstein files by Friday?	No	68¢	100¢	+$32	win

Crypto 72% $-201 $13,350 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	No	96¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?	No	96¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Rocky Mount visit?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?	No	98¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?	No	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in February?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-59	loss
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?	No	29¢	100¢	+$97	win
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$29	win
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	No	25¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-144	loss