Win rate
69.3%
266 W / 118 L
Total PnL
$23,975
realized $-11,765 · unrealized $35,741
Portfolio
$35,741
volume $2,115,970
Predictions
369
2.5/day · avg $5,734
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 90% +$48,089
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$359 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$1,978 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$660 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-1,148 | loss |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 4¢ | +$8 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$66 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 42¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 57¢ | $-998 | loss |
Politics 83% +$2,054
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-540 | loss |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | +$450 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 23¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$506 | win |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 31% +$339
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz | Ethan Quinn | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$274 | win |
| Dallas Open: Ethan Quinn vs Marin Cilic | Cilic | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$765 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1AM ET | Down | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Down | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
Economy 0% $-106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
Sports 55% $-971
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik | Musetti | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-2,106 | loss |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublev | Rublev | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges | Rublev | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | win |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik | Shang | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-1,014 | loss |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shang | Shang | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$499 | win |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shang | Sonego | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Francisco Comesana | Shang | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$919 | win |
| Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti | Djokovic | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$1,429 | win |
| Aspinall vs. Gane | Aspinall | 76¢ | 50¢ | $-342 | loss |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-513 | loss |
Other 62% $-24,702
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by January 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 96¢ | 52¢ | $-18 | loss |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 1¢ | $-378 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$683 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$592 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | loss |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-1,024 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $1,044 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | $4,488 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | $3,020 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $10,586 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $1,001 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $108 | 13/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $2,988 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $5,935 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$823 | $11,320 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6,306 | $297 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | +$91 | $2,002 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3,479 | $7,316 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | 64.4¢ | 100¢ | +$683 | $1,594 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$592 | $3,775 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$506 | $2,168 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$415 | $3,585 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$203 | $1,590 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $1,075 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $2,602 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $990 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-375 | $1,026 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,024 | $1,024 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini | Alexander Bublik | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,001 | $1,001 | 27/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz | Ethan Quinn | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$274 | $216 | 25/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulp | Denis Shapovalov | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $-998 | $998 | 25/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov | Grigor Dimitrov | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,015 | $1,015 | 25/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$376 | $1,257 | 22/03/2026 |
| Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$792 | $1,008 | 21/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolina | Elena Rybakina | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$480 | $1,020 | 21/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev | Carlos Alcaraz | 68.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2,233 | $2,233 | 21/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$614 | $1,001 | 20/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev | Jack Draper | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,027 | $1,027 | 20/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$663 | $1,037 | 19/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinner | Learner Tien | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $591 | 19/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$378 | $1,022 | 18/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen | Daniil Medvedev | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | $1,050 | 18/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Learner Tien | 42.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2,713 | $1,974 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Arthur Fils | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,368 | $1,032 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper | Jack Draper | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,288 | $1,012 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$435 | $1,065 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$269 | $1,011 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $1,032 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper | Novak Djokovic | 62.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2,112 | $2,112 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | Novak Djokovic | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$376 | $1,130 | 16/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech | Carlos Alcaraz | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$360 | $1,140 | 16/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tien | Learner Tien | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | $1,000 | 15/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 46.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,995 | $1,705 | 14/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jack Draper | Jack Draper | 74.8¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | $1,288 | 14/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilo | Daniil Medvedev | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 14/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak | Novak Djokovic | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | $1,012 | 13/03/2026 |