UbuntuTrading

Sports 65% +$16,508 $2,733,990 vol · 762 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	94¢	94¢	$-404	loss
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	4¢	3¢	+$0	win
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	96¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	13¢	22¢	+$8	win
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	30¢	30¢	+$39	win
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	74¢	78¢	$-100	loss
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	94¢	95¢	$-669	loss
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	99¢	99¢	$-102	loss
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	86¢	91¢	+$0	—

Politics 58% +$4,894 $407,753 vol · 318 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4¢	7¢	+$11	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	39¢	39¢	$-479	loss
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	98¢	$-2	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	72¢	73¢	$-2,070	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	+$50	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$43	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	24¢	0¢	+$29	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	11¢	8¢	+$23	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	10¢	12¢	+$21	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	59¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Elections 66% +$4,018 $517,064 vol · 324 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-4	loss
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	57¢	62¢	+$37	win
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	76¢	81¢	$-1,360	loss
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$3	win
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	34¢	20¢	$-8	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	43¢	46¢	$-63	loss
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	85¢	84¢	+$79	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	18¢	1¢	$-51	loss
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	69¢	42¢	$-63	loss

Geopolitics 64% +$3,405 $350,976 vol · 336 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	15¢	14¢	$-23	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	18¢	20¢	+$176	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$111	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	2¢	0¢	+$60	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	38¢	78¢	+$46	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	12¢	100¢	+$6	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	25¢	30¢	+$37	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	18¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	59¢	85¢	+$7	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	10¢	10¢	+$4	win

Crypto 77% +$2,971 $286,620 vol · 380 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$2	win
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	4¢	0¢	+$71	win
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-0	loss
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	6¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	13¢	50¢	+$26	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	51¢	50¢	+$3	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	66¢	77¢	$-32	loss
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	14¢	8¢	$-15	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	56¢	10¢	+$0	win

Culture 69% +$1,154 $97,992 vol · 124 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	18¢	22¢	+$25	win
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	2¢	3¢	+$3	win
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	46¢	48¢	$-2	loss
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	69¢	78¢	$-38	loss
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	No	32¢	28¢	+$1	win
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	75¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	25¢	0¢	+$19	win
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	89¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	53¢	0¢	+$13	win

Tech 71% +$719 $124,420 vol · 152 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	41¢	39¢	+$8	win
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	94¢	95¢	+$1	win
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	21¢	18¢	$-13	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	82¢	90¢	$-6	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	37¢	71¢	+$6	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	89¢	86¢	+$3	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	8¢	12¢	+$11	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	21¢	28¢	+$6	win
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	No	94¢	96¢	$-3	loss

Esports 100% +$127 $18,136 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	46¢	43¢	+$6	win
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	43¢	57¢	+$3	win
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$23	win

Finance 79% +$88 $4,656 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	91¢	90¢	+$2	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	30¢	3¢	$-34	loss
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$71	win
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	12¢	4¢	+$3	win
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	11¢	10¢	$-0	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	30¢	24¢	+$2	win
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$6	win
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	45¢	34¢	$-4	loss
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$7	win

Weather 67% +$18 $3,562 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	12¢	10¢	+$4	win
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	99¢	97¢	$-6	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	74¢	100¢	+$10	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	Kansas Jayhawks	39¢	0¢	+$0	—
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	44¢	0¢	+$10	win
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	82¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$89	win
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	No	91¢	100¢	$-90	loss
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Other 65% $-404 $2,394,665 vol · 1140 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	70¢	69¢	+$0	—
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	88¢	88¢	$-43	loss
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	74¢	70¢	$-46	loss
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	62¢	71¢	+$8	win
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	77¢	88¢	+$6	win
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	79¢	90¢	+$4	win
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	57¢	66¢	+$4	win
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	96¢	97¢	+$3	win
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	92¢	95¢	+$3	win
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	58¢	100¢	$-13	loss

Mentions 70% $-867 $273,157 vol · 344 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	No	98¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 51% $-1,578 $63,873 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	26¢	+$11	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	22¢	20¢	$-8	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	8¢	8¢	$-1	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	1¢	+$4	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	3¢	0¢	$-7	loss
US recession in 2025?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$7	win
US recession in 2025?	No	37¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$8	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	5¢	0¢	$-15	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win