mrtrump

Elections 61% +$13,115 $168,068 vol · 106 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-26	loss
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97¢	96¢	$-10	loss
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-124	loss
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	93¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	35¢	96¢	+$625	win
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	44¢	99¢	+$1,580	win
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-62	loss
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	57¢	100¢	$-62	loss
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-5,710	loss

Politics 75% +$7,748 $93,746 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-4	loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$4	win
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	98¢	98¢	+$14	win
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	49¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?	Yes	34¢	36¢	+$1	win
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	5¢	6¢	+$54	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	54¢	60¢	$-130	loss
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	33¢	100¢	$-17	loss

Sports 71% +$4,975 $115,654 vol · 85 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-17	loss
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?	Yes	7¢	7¢	+$0	win
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?	Yes	10¢	40¢	+$146	win
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	45¢	34¢	+$191	win
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	11¢	3¢	+$1	win
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	21¢	7¢	$-83	loss
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	13¢	11¢	$-37	loss
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-85	loss

Geopolitics 52% +$4,563 $30,621 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$37	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	36¢	70¢	+$1,255	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$20	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	14¢	10¢	+$19	win
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	60¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	40¢	78¢	+$1,078	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	34¢	3¢	$-128	loss
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$160	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$8	win

Economy 80% +$146 $337 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	3¢	2¢	+$50	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$18	win

Finance 57% +$87 $3,410 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	17¢	12¢	$-170	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$104	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13?	Up	59¢	0¢	$-439	loss
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?	Yes	31¢	0¢	+$262	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	24¢	22¢	+$2	win

Tech 100% +$6 $44 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kathy Hochul say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the State of the State address?	No	11¢	0¢	+$6	win

Weather 100% +$1 $59 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 38% $-365 $1,303 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$18	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	Yes	13¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$38	win

Other 48% $-1,628 $99,206 vol · 138 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	24¢	6¢	$-3,321	loss
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	19¢	20¢	+$3	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	43¢	44¢	$-161	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	58¢	36¢	$-814	loss
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	6¢	30¢	+$143	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	41¢	16¢	+$6	win
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-850	loss
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Crypto 27% $-3,411 $15,751 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	8¢	10¢	+$21	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	38¢	40¢	+$175	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	7¢	2¢	$-44	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?	No	11¢	0¢	$-520	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?	No	12¢	0¢	$-477	loss
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 8?	No	1¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 6?	No	2¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 6?	No	1¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-30	loss