FML69

Geopolitics 67% +$656 $9,990 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	67¢	94¢	+$5	win
Senators vs. Islanders	Senators	95¢	100¢	$-64	loss
Senators vs. Islanders	Islanders	22¢	0¢	$-349	loss
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	39¢	100¢	+$66	win
Lightning vs. Senators	Senators	58¢	100¢	+$20	win
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	37¢	0¢	$-383	loss
Wild vs. Senators	Senators	34¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Sabres vs. Senators	Senators	33¢	100¢	+$215	win
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	No	69¢	100¢	+$16	win

Elections 50% +$165 $1,094 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97¢	98¢	+$0	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	65¢	48¢	$-6	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	82¢	88¢	$-13	loss
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$25	win

Culture 38% +$119 $1,724 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Santiago: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	45¢	100¢	+$13	win
Santiago: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Joao Lucas Da Silva	63¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	38¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-139	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	62¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	87¢	100¢	$-52	loss

Economy 50% +$19 $580 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs	Mississippi State Bulldogs	38¢	100¢	+$124	win
Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs	Auburn Tigers	72¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs	Coppin State Eagles	24¢	100¢	+$86	win
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs	South Carolina State Bulldogs	71¢	0¢	$-126	loss

Finance 50% $-33 $853 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$1	win
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama	Yasutaka Uchiyama	19¢	0¢	$-22	loss
ATX Open: Anna Bondar vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Rakhimova	74¢	100¢	+$200	win
ATX Open: Anna Bondar vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Bondar	25¢	0¢	$-212	loss

Politics 62% $-143 $10,531 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	35¢	28¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	95¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	90¢	92¢	$-37	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	$-214	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-814	loss
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?	No	40¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Will Trump say "NATO" during Monday news conference?	Yes	68¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?	No	68¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 47% $-2,099 $15,249 vol · 246 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	65¢	0¢	$-521	loss
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in March?	No	22¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Solana reach $90 in March?	No	22¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?	No	57¢	0¢	$-310	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12AM ET	Up	73¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	51¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	56¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	61¢	100¢	+$16	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	71¢	100¢	+$12	win

Weather 52% $-2,708 $9,931 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	New Mexico Lobos	24¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Miami Hurricanes	8¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockers	Wichita State Shockers	52¢	100¢	+$48	win
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm	Connecticut Huskies	19¢	0¢	+$18	win
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	84¢	100¢	$-34	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers	Virginia Cavaliers	60¢	100¢	+$68	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers	Miami Hurricanes	46¢	0¢	+$9	win
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes	Louisville Cardinals	21¢	0¢	+$74	win
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes	Miami Hurricanes	83¢	100¢	+$33	win
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Storm Hunter	Storm Hunter	86¢	100¢	+$34	win

Other 49% $-50,706 $737,827 vol · 1504 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	30¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	98¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	63¢	44¢	$-170	loss
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	49¢	100¢	+$2,089	win
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Mumbai Indians	17¢	0¢	+$270	win
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotland	Scotland	81¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	6¢	0¢	+$447	win
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators	Quetta Gladiators	20¢	0¢	+$48	win
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Chennai Super Kings	66¢	100¢	$-187	loss

Sports 44% $-51,282 $1,277,736 vol · 1502 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Colorado Rockies	60¢	100¢	+$198	win
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	39¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	90¢	100¢	+$13	win
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	68¢	100¢	+$161	win
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	New York Mets	26¢	0¢	+$103	win
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics	Texas Rangers	48¢	100¢	+$641	win
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	41¢	100¢	+$418	win
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics	Athletics	22¢	0¢	$-47	loss
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	59¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	40¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Esports 46% $-54,031 $772,139 vol · 1336 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	ALKA	62¢	100¢	+$29	win
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	R2 Esports Club	48¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner	MIBR Academy	59¢	100¢	+$16	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	87¢	100¢	$-26	loss
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Cloud9	88¢	100¢	+$11	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	47¢	0¢	$-2,870	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	18¢	0¢	$-113	loss
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Natus Vincere	52¢	0¢	$-416	loss
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	XLG Gaming	69¢	100¢	+$10	win
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Eternal Fire	70¢	100¢	+$244	win