Win rate
66.1%
240 W / 123 L
Total PnL
$-110
realized $-5,749 · unrealized $5,639
Portfolio
$5,639
volume $48,606
Predictions
864
18.5/day · avg $56
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 71% +$290
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 19? | No | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18? | No | 66¢ | 40¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 14? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 14? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 14? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Sports 69% +$181
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card) | Gregory Rodrigues | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Rangers vs. Devils | Devils | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Suns | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Capitals vs. Bruins | Capitals | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5 | Under | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) | Pelicans | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 59¢ | 50¢ | $-5 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 84¢ | 78¢ | $-2 | loss |
Culture 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Esports 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Mentions 64% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | loss |
Other 58% $-109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 67¢ | 60¢ | +$6 | win |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | Yes | 49¢ | 39¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | No | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$33 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tien | Ben Shelton | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| BNP Paribas Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibson | Talia Gibson | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Gael Monfils | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelka | Reilly Opelka | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Politics 49% $-230
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | Yes | 31¢ | 19¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | No | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 81¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | No | 19¢ | 13¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April? | Yes | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April? | No | 80¢ | 73¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Yes | 42¢ | 60¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 74¢ | 58¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $133 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17? | No | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | No | 76.1¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 66.6¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16? | No | 71.1¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16? | No | 71.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $64 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 14? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $51 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 14? | No | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 14? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 14? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 14? | No | 66.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 13? | No | 67.2¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13? | No | 72.2¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $39 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 13? | No | 70.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 13? | No | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 13? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 13? | No | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 13? | No | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13? | No | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on April 13? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13? | No | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 13? | No | 72.2¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 12? | No | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 12? | No | 57.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 12? | No | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 12? | No | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 12? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $71 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 12? | No | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $72 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 12? | No | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 12? | No | 79.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 12? | No | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $52 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 12? | No | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 12? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 12? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 12? | No | 86.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 12? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 11? | No | 77.2¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $99 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 11? | No | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $34 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 11? | No | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $40 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 11? | No | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $37 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 11? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $44 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 11? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 11? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 11/04/2026 |