Win rate
47.8%
22 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-75
realized $-888 · unrealized $812
Portfolio
$812
volume $210,304
Predictions
68
2.2/day · avg $3,093
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 82% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 14¢ | +$8 | win |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-8 | loss |
Elections 40% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 44¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 81¢ | 88¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | No | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | — |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | 58¢ | 54¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 50% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 30¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 70¢ | 60¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 39% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 81¢ | 85¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 27¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $613 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $735 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $1,104 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $1,138 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $918 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $736 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $139 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $395 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,162 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $837 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $71 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 77.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $407 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $105 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,181 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $216 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $847 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the Rams win the NFC Championship? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $1,282 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $865 | 26/01/2026 |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,046 | 20/01/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $834 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,613 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96.9¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $800 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 1¢ | +$1 | $34 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | $472 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 70.0¢ | 60¢ | $-13 | $1,168 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | +$3 | $1,572 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 92.6¢ | 88¢ | +$3 | $798 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | $103 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | $93 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $21 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 2¢ | $-8 | $59 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $491 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 27.0¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $224 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 75.2¢ | 76¢ | +$11 | $2,242 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 24¢ | +$8 | $182 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 92.6¢ | 94¢ | +$8 | $886 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $920 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95.3¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $1,869 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $885 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94.6¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $636 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94.4¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $885 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $828 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 81.4¢ | 85¢ | $-24 | $2,372 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.0¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $833 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $834 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $161 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 86.5¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $805 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92.1¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $312 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $45 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10.1¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | $197 | 20/07/2026 |