Win rate
74.7%
215 W / 73 L
Total PnL
$2,828
realized $-3,619 · unrealized $6,447
Portfolio
$6,447
volume $285,346
Predictions
451
6.5/day · avg $633
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 88% +$3,838
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April? | No | 73¢ | 88¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | No | 88¢ | 82¢ | $-42 | loss |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 72% +$1,166
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 52¢ | 18¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 24¢ | 82¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April? | No | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
Tech 89% +$166
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google reach $300 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Meta (META) close at $570-$580 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $165? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $180? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 75% +$46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Gen.G | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A | G2 Esports | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Weibo Gaming | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner | G2 Esports | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) | JD Gaming | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Sports 91% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Gen.G | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Anyones Legend | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | GIANTX | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Team Vitality | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | T1 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Movistar KOI | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Finance 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Mentions 75% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Politics 47% $-199
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 97¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 86¢ | 81¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 77¢ | 57¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30? | No | 85¢ | 81¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" this week? (April 5) | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
Geopolitics 43% $-2,225
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | 52¢ | 6¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 26¢ | 23¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 61¢ | 93¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-173 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 40.6¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,668 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $64 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 93¢ | $-4 | $459 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $452 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | $-173 | $702 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? | Yes | 46.1¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? | No | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $608 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $190 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12? | No | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $99 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $559 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $219 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $236 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 79.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $283 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | No | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $67 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 7? | Yes | 69.7¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $131 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 81.1¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $892 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 54.9¢ | 6¢ | $-182 | $611 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $593 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,290 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" this week? (April 5) | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 30 above $149? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $1,047 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,017 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Meta (META) close at $570-$580 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $806 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,122 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $441 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $997 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $406 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $170? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $301 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $142 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $180? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $436 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $120 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $183 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $165? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $549 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on April 1? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $5,341 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1? | No | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 1? | No | 91.2¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | No | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$53 | $31 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $592 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $771 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $762 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $394 | 01/04/2026 |