Win rate
31.6%
18 W / 39 L
Total PnL
$8,130
realized $5,976 · unrealized $2,154
Portfolio
$2,154
volume $600,542
Predictions
64
1.2/day · avg $9,383
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/05/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$5,851
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$6,003 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Sports 60% +$3,391
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 39¢ | 58¢ | +$48 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | Movsar Evloev | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$4,073 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | Michael Page | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | Roman Dolidze | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Kape vs. Almabayev | Almabayev | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-730 | loss |
Geopolitics 27% +$659
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 71¢ | 95¢ | +$2,613 | win |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 16¢ | $-163 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 3¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Serhiivka by April 30? | Yes | 23¢ | 5¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-534 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$113 | win |
Economy 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Politics 40% $-36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$98 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 25¢ | 14¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
Esports 0% $-168
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | FURIA | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Team Falcons | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 29% $-1,211
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7PM ET | Down | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET | Up | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ET | Down | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ET | Up | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-694 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | FURIA | 13.6¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | $167 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 39.0¢ | 58¢ | +$48 | $98 | 19/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Team Falcons | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $-87 | $110 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $62 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6,003 | $9,648 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | +$113 | $317 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $3,056 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | $548 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31? | Yes | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $-534 | $534 | 31/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 43.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $699 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | Movsar Evloev | 68.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4,073 | $9,082 | 22/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | Michael Page | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $250 | 22/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | Roman Dolidze | 23.9¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $77 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26? | No | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $70 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 2¢ | $-20 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $70 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,922 | $16,070 | 31/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7PM ET | Down | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $39 | 27/08/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 27/08/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET | Up | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 27/08/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ET | Down | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $50 | 26/08/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 6PM ET | Up | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 26/08/2025 |
| Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 28/04/2025 |
| Kape vs. Almabayev | Almabayev | 34.7¢ | 0¢ | $-730 | $730 | 01/03/2025 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $173 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | $22,354 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $546 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $190 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-694 | $694 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 17.5¢ | 21¢ | +$46 | $235 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 25.4¢ | 14¢ | $-21 | $123 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 34.4¢ | 6¢ | $-3,593 | $4,429 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 17¢ | $-964 | $1,511 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30? | Yes | 26.9¢ | 8¢ | $-173 | $240 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | Yes | 35.1¢ | 16¢ | $-163 | $300 | 30/04/2026 |