Win rate
38.5%
40 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$2,559
realized $303 · unrealized $2,256
Portfolio
$2,256
volume $256,464
Predictions
142
3.8/day · avg $1,806
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 50% +$207
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 76¢ | 73¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 59¢ | 60¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$418 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
Esports 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Economy 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-17 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 34¢ | 40¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Down | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Down | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Down | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Mentions 50% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
Geopolitics 40% $-69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31¢ | 26¢ | $-145 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 24¢ | 8¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 66¢ | 96¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 1¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 25% $-79
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | 77¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 23¢ | 10¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Sports 31% $-553
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$54 | win |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Clippers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Clippers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 | Over | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$247 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Cavaliers | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Lightning vs. Kraken | Lightning | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Lightning vs. Kraken | Kraken | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 | Under | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
Other 30% $-830
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | No | 40¢ | 80¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 38¢ | 1¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-295 | loss |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils | 26¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $112 | 18/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | $691 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $2,365 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 33.5¢ | 16¢ | $-150 | $414 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 43.7¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | $210 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 72.3¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $225 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $112 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 38.0¢ | 1¢ | $-72 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72.3¢ | 99¢ | +$82 | $225 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $85 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 35.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $43 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 39.2¢ | 0¢ | $-295 | $300 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 64.5¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $108 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? | No | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Clippers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Clippers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | $69 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 56.6¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $191 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $292 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 18.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $151 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $146 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 16.8¢ | 100¢ | +$418 | $129 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 75.3¢ | 100¢ | +$345 | $733 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 59.6¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $450 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $1,547 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 39.5¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) | Bilibili Gaming | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $364 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 85.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 43.8¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $101 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $435 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $97 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $228 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $381 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $677 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-03-30? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $1,370 | 30/03/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-13.5) | Clippers | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $100 | 29/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Clippers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $381 | 29/03/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-348 | $1,632 | 29/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $74 | 27/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Down | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $40 | 26/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Down | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 26/03/2026 |