0xC1e51A0E0aB9f10e2D489B312e35ad8B220dc5df-1774574800875

Politics 73% +$34 $570 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3¢	3¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	8¢	6¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	17¢	1¢	$-0	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$11	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	89¢	100¢	+$2	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	20¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 0% $-20 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Equipe Caos vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group A	Equipe Caos	40¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Tech 0% $-20 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	4¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Weather 0% $-40 $40 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	Northern Iowa Panthers	8¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Other 49% $-129 $2,062 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	95¢	95¢	+$0	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	54¢	40¢	$-10	loss
KCC Egis vs. Seoul Knights	KCC Egis	56¢	100¢	+$4	win
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Beijing Ducks	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	59¢	100¢	+$0	win
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys	Karim Bennani	24¢	100¢	+$35	win
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	94¢	100¢	+$7	win
Barletta: Duje Ajdukovic vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Copa Colsanitas: Selena Janicijevic vs Julia Riera	Julia Riera	74¢	100¢	+$3	win
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto	Marco Trungelliti	80¢	100¢	+$2	win
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducks	Nanjing Monkey King	40¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Economy 0% $-150 $150 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Sports 50% $-159 $437 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	6¢	5¢	$-6	loss
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	New Zealand	10¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)	Bulls	48¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Oilers vs. Avalanche	Oilers	40¢	100¢	+$30	win
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Jazz	50¢	100¢	+$0	win
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)	Celtics	50¢	100¢	+$20	win
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5	Under	50¢	100¢	+$20	win
Predators vs. Sabres	Predators	40¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Knicks vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	50¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Geopolitics 47% $-170 $3,198 vol · 49 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	33¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	56¢	77¢	$-7	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	0¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	87¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	70¢	76¢	$-13	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	21¢	75¢	+$21	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	73¢	94¢	+$10	win

Crypto 47% $-851 $5,469 vol · 66 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	26¢	100¢	+$237	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	43¢	100¢	+$233	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	52¢	100¢	+$197	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	65¢	100¢	+$186	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	63¢	100¢	+$143	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	48¢	100¢	+$121	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	59¢	100¢	+$103	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	65¢	100¢	+$81	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	24¢	100¢	+$79	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	31¢	100¢	+$57	win