Win rate
83.0%
44 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-33
realized $-641 · unrealized $608
Portfolio
$608
volume $7,167
Predictions
232
7.9/day · avg $31
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 84% +$29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? | No | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 16¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 72¢ | 53¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 58¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Other 87% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 80¢ | 66¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Panathinaikos vs. Anadolu Efes | Panathinaikos | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 | Over | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5 | Over | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Dundee FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 | Over | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | No | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5 | Under | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 67% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 50% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 75¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 41¢ | 15¢ | $-10 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos vs. Anadolu Efes | Panathinaikos | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 85.3¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 90.3¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | $43 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 65.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 | Over | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $44 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 78.3¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $43 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 40.9¢ | 15¢ | $-10 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5 | Over | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $40 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 10? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 31.1¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Dundee FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 | Over | 86.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5 | Under | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | No | 96.0¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 52.4¢ | 92¢ | +$13 | $27 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 77.4¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | $26 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $34 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 76.0¢ | 98¢ | +$7 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 88.0¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 90.2¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 54.1¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | No | 81.8¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 78.1¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $51 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 72.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? | No | 80.2¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $32 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 92.8¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $34 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 96.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $27 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 80.0¢ | 66¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 64.7¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 72.3¢ | 53¢ | $-1 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 86.5¢ | 58¢ | $-2 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | No | 87.0¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | $32 | 01/05/2026 |