Win rate
45.8%
44 W / 52 L
Total PnL
$2,826
realized $636 · unrealized $2,189
Portfolio
$2,189
volume $170,405
Predictions
346
4.4/day · avg $492
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 50% +$1,502
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 17? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 10? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on March 29? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 29? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 29? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on March 29? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$77 | win |
Other 33% +$333
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 60¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 40¢ | 82¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$495 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Politics 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Sports 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 10¢ | 5¢ | $-10 | loss |
Elections 0% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
Culture 33% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 86.0¢ | 88¢ | +$4 | $186 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 17? | Yes | 4.6¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 10? | Yes | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 28.2¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $31 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $38 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $58 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation? | No | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $32 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation? | No | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $349 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 24.7¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $129 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 30? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $28 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 30? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $46 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 29? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | +$300 | $188 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on March 29? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $46 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on March 29? | Yes | 79.4¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $284 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 29? | Yes | 37.5¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $45 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29? | Yes | 50.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $56 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $70 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on March 29? | No | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | $-27 | $182 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 29? | Yes | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $175 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 29? | Yes | 61.5¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $70 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28? | No | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | +$77 | $71 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 28? | Yes | 43.5¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $306 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 28? | Yes | 65.2¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $167 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28? | Yes | 71.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $132 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 28? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $85 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on March 27? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $73 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 27? | No | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $176 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 27? | Yes | 77.2¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $67 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 27? | No | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $64 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 27? | No | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | $-111 | $126 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 26? | Yes | 19.5¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $23 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 26? | Yes | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $155 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 26? | Yes | 21.2¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $74 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 26? | Yes | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $109 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on March 25? | Yes | 34.3¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $72 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 25? | Yes | 20.5¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | $43 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 25? | Yes | 44.2¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $47 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on March 24? | Yes | 54.9¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | $319 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24? | Yes | 67.3¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $187 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 24? | Yes | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $33 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24? | No | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $189 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 23? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $418 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23? | Yes | 76.1¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $232 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $342 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $389 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 22? | No | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $124 | 22/03/2026 |