Win rate
71.7%
266 W / 105 L
Total PnL
$633
realized $-2,879 · unrealized $3,511
Portfolio
$3,511
volume $256,678
Predictions
441
7.7/day · avg $582
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 72% +$648
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 63¢ | 85¢ | +$13 | win |
| Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 100% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye tweet again by April 30? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Politics 70% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | 12¢ | 4¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will "Trump" be said 3+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Trump say "Biden" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5? | Yes | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 67% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 40¢ | 6¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| Will Rabby launch a token in 2025? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Solana all time high before 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 18¢ | 76¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Gervonta Davis win by KO/TKO? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will Opensea launch a token by October 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Tech 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT ads by December 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Geopolitics 33% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Culture 0% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
Sports 76% $-260
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 65¢ | 56¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Spurs | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5 | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Clippers | Cavaliers | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Gordon: Anytime Goalscorer | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $281 | 18/04/2026 |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 61.7¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5 | Over | 46.6¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Lautaro Martinez: Anytime Goalscorer | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $83 | 17/04/2026 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | No | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $700 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 100¢ | $-339 | $169 | 16/04/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score | No | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 | Under | 37.4¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 12/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Over | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $52 | 11/04/2026 |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 11/04/2026 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 26.1¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 11/04/2026 |
| AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 27.5¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 11/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 39.3¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 10/04/2026 |
| West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 10/04/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $146 | 07/04/2026 |
| Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 | Under | 28.4¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $108 | 04/04/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $98 | 04/04/2026 |
| Enzo Fernandez: Anytime Goalscorer | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 04/04/2026 |
| Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 04/04/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | No | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 04/04/2026 |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 | Under | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $300 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Japan | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $106 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Jamaica win on 2026-03-31? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $261 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | No | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $203 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| South Africa vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $850 | 31/03/2026 |
| England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Over | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 31/03/2026 |
| Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 29/03/2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $108 | 28/03/2026 |
| Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Over | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $105 | 28/03/2026 |
| Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $99 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-03-27? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $50 | 27/03/2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-4.5) | Mauritania | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Argentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 4.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $99 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26? | No | 72.8¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $106 | 26/03/2026 |
| Brazil vs. France: O/U 1.5 | Over | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $106 | 26/03/2026 |