Win rate
81.4%
179 W / 41 L
Total PnL
$-3,238
realized $-4,820 · unrealized $1,582
Portfolio
$1,582
volume $291,190
Predictions
365
6.9/day · avg $798
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 80% +$109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will China record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Tech 100% +$57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 1¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 79% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 93¢ | 94¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.14? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| DeepSeek V4 released by February 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 84% $-145
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 64¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 6? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Weather 81% $-855
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | Yes | 94¢ | 86¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 16? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 16? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Geopolitics 64% $-2,225
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-2,320 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 17? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $122 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $174 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $245 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 86¢ | $-57 | $679 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $699 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 17? | No | 95.4¢ | 88¢ | $-17 | $219 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $649 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 16? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 16? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $52 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 16? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $529 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 16? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $238 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $130 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 16? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $102 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 16? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $234 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $295 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 15? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 15? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 15? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 14? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $778 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 14? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 14? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $470 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $108 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 14? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on April 14? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 13? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 13? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $63 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $90 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $96 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 13? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $120 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 13? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $126 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $182 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 13? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $92 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or higher on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $710 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $155 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 12? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on April 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $609 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 10? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $57 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 7? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 07/04/2026 |