Win rate
69.3%
480 W / 213 L
Total PnL
$880
realized $348 · unrealized $532
Portfolio
$532
volume $718,651
Predictions
748
5.9/day · avg $961
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 86% +$4,059
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$3,959 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-91 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Other 71% +$2,223
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | win |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | loss |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Politics 67% +$138
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 50% +$125
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Tech 100% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Mentions 77% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 67% $-178
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 98¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 23? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Down | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 15? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 10? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 9? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on March 9? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 67% $-2,636
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Jazz | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) | Nuggets | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Kings | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Clippers | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-407 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Anyones Legend | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-1,674 | loss |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Anyones Legend | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
Esports 66% $-2,996
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | win |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner | 3DMAX | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner | Astralis | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $164 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $498 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $180 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 61.2¢ | 48¢ | $-56 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | JD Gaming | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 67.0¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$276 | $324 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $233 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $180 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $185 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $175 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$182 | $212 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 63.3¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $76 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 17.4¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $180 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-81 | $628 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | $670 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster Challengers | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $400 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $160 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $90 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $400 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $770 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $70 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $180 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner | DN SOOPers | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | +$50 | $130 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $70 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $79 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Red Force | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | $147 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $130 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 68.1¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $224 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $200 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $73 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | $500 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner | 3DMAX | 28.8¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $129 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $55 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | Astralis | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | $35 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $80 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner | Astralis | 69.5¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $104 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $-362 | $512 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $140 | 08/04/2026 |