Win rate
88.1%
1813 W / 245 L
Total PnL
$-10,015
realized $-11,678 · unrealized $1,664
Portfolio
$1,664
volume $327,452
Predictions
5,730
31.2/day · avg $57
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 79% +$254
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-331 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-1,005 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Elections 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 12? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 12? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Other 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 6:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$-0 | — |
Finance 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Crypto 83% $-783
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7AM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Down | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Up | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Down | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Up | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Down | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Weather 92% $-9,536
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 19? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 19? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 19? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 19? | No | 94¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 19? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 42¢ | $-26 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 18? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $102 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 42¢ | $-26 | $37 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 18? | No | 96.6¢ | 51¢ | $-62 | $131 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 18? | No | 95.2¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $83 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 18? | No | 93.4¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $55 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18? | No | 96.2¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $51 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18? | No | 93.5¢ | 84¢ | $-5 | $49 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18? | No | 92.0¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | $45 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $39 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 18? | No | 96.0¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 18? | No | 90.0¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $31 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 18? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7AM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $81 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $91 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 17? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 17? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 17? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Down | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 16? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 16? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 16? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 16? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 16? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 15? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 15? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 15? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 15? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 15? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 15? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 15? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 15? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 14? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 14? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 14? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 14? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 14? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 14? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 14? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 14? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 14? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 14? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 14? | No | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |