Win rate
43.9%
29 W / 37 L
Total PnL
$-546
realized $-1,560 · unrealized $1,014
Portfolio
$1,014
volume $74,342
Predictions
72
0.9/day · avg $1,033
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 60% +$297
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | win |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 55¢ | 55¢ | $-3 | loss |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds | San Francisco Giants | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$564 | win |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Washington Nationals | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$313 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% +$83
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 59¢ | 49¢ | +$37 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 39¢ | $-69 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$215 | win |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-100 | loss |
Politics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 38% $-339
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? | Yes | 29¢ | 10¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 14¢ | 48¢ | +$60 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Team WE | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-370 | loss |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SK Gaming | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
Crypto 40% $-354
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 65¢ | 72¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 75¢ | 34¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Down | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Up | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
Esports 50% $-374
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$15 | win |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Team WE | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Top Esports | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Liquid | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 56.0¢ | 64¢ | +$15 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Team WE | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Team WE | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $102 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Team WE | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | $54 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $-370 | $370 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $120 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Team WE | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $192 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Top Esports | 46.7¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $240 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SK Gaming | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Liquid | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $104 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $216 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Down | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $150 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Up | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $53 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Down | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Up | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $186 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $160 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | $30 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Down | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $38 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Down | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Down | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 11/03/2026 |