Win rate
55.6%
304 W / 243 L
Total PnL
$-861
realized $-1,559 · unrealized $698
Portfolio
$698
volume $216,860
Predictions
1,378
12.0/day · avg $157
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 55% +$1,167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card) | Kevin Vallejos | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner | Galions Sharks | 3¢ | 50¢ | +$360 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 41¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | Red Wings | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Bruins vs. Blackhawks | Bruins | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bruins vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Maple Leafs vs. Jets | Jets | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Wild vs. Sabres | Wild | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Kraken vs. Utah | Utah | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Economy 67% +$61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Finance 100% +$54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
Politics 70% +$46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 69¢ | 84¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 93¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 74¢ | 40¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 83¢ | 40¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$18 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Elections 50% $-88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Mentions 64% $-134
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 25% $-161
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
Crypto 87% $-220
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | 34¢ | 92¢ | $-6 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 65¢ | 78¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 42% $-356
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 59¢ | 70¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 80¢ | 86¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 62¢ | 83¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 67¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 75¢ | 96¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 66¢ | 44¢ | $-6 | loss |
Other 60% $-399
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 37¢ | 66¢ | +$14 | win |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 28¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 88¢ | 60¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Esports 48% $-988
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner | Team Envy | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | loss |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Cloud9 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-230 | loss |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Evil Geniuses | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Vici Gaming | 51¢ | 42¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 54¢ | 58¢ | +$5 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | GamerLegion | 33¢ | 22¢ | $-8 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Team Envy | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $328 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $244 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner | Cloud9 | 65.5¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $207 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner | FURIA Esports | 66.9¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $131 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner | Evil Geniuses | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $43 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner | Team Envy | 64.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $26 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner | Team Envy | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Evil Geniuses | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 51.3¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $146 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Cloud9 | 50.4¢ | 0¢ | $-230 | $230 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | $171 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Natus Vincere | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $146 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $143 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 39.2¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $94 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Vici Gaming | 57.6¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $125 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Vici Gaming | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $105 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $103 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Spirit | 54.4¢ | 58¢ | +$5 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 19.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Vici Gaming | 50.5¢ | 42¢ | $-9 | $53 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | GamerLegion | 32.7¢ | 22¢ | $-8 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 34.3¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | $172 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 78.3¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | $29 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $171 | 18/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $112 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | FUT Esports | 57.1¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner | Fnatic | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Pcific Esports | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 28.5¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will UC Sampdoria vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner | Pcific Esports | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 43.2¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $136 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Team Heretics | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | $224 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Eternal Fire | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 16/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Up | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 16/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 16/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,566 | 15/04/2026 |