Win rate
65.5%
19 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$-95
realized $-709 · unrealized $615
Portfolio
$615
volume $6,948
Predictions
106
9.1/day · avg $66
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 67% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75¢ | 70¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Fury | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Crypto 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
Economy 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 58% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 48¢ | 74¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 59¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 52¢ | 17¢ | $-5 | loss |
Recent Trades (29)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 38.4¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $128 | 15/04/2026 |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Fury | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $133 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 51.6¢ | 17¢ | $-5 | $102 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $31 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 54.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $29 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 76.0¢ | 80¢ | +$1 | $21 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 93.3¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 96.2¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $41 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | No | 93.4¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 94.7¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 98.6¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75.3¢ | 70¢ | +$7 | $207 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 71.8¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97.5¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $217 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 59.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $34 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 91.2¢ | 59¢ | $-0 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $133 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $21 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | No | 99.0¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $21 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90.0¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 98.3¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $21 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 47.9¢ | 74¢ | +$30 | $53 | 31/12/2026 |