Win rate
99.3%
814 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$-6,404
realized $-24,092 · unrealized $17,689
Portfolio
$17,689
volume $3,035,135
Predictions
895
24.5/day · avg $3,391
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| China coup attempt in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Tech 91% $-684
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 6 above $385? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$295 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-1,282 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$145 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Crypto 99% $-5,940
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above 76,200 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 18, 12AM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 78,400 on April 17, 11PM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 79,000 on April 17, 10PM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 17, 10PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 17, 11PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 78,800 on April 18, 3AM ET? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Bitcoin above 77,800 on April 17, 9PM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 17, 12AM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin above 73,600 on April 16, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $6,797 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 18, 12AM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,888 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 79,200 on April 17, 11PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,200 on April 17, 10PM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $499 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,000 on April 17, 10PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $449 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,400 on April 18, 12AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $350 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,800 on April 17, 11PM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $320 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,200 on April 17, 10PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,600 on April 17, 10PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 17, 11PM ET? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $160 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 18, 12AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,400 on April 17, 11PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,400 on April 17, 10PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,800 on April 18, 3AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 79,000 on April 17, 10PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 17, 10PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $146 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 17, 11PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $109 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,200 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,800 on April 17, 9PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 17, 12AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,006 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 16, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $976 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 16, 9PM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,247 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,200 on April 16, 9PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,649 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 16, 10PM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,058 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 17, 2AM ET? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $114 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 17, 2AM ET? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $117 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 16, 10PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,541 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,600 on April 17, 7AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $867 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 16, 10PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,292 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,800 on April 17, 4AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $839 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 17, 4AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $680 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,600 on April 17, 7AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $818 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,200 on April 17, 7AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $818 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 17, 7AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $815 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 74,000 on April 17, 7AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $756 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,000 on April 17, 5AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $755 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 17, 2AM ET? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,400 on April 17, 9AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $550 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 17, 9AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,600 on April 16, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 77,200 on April 17, 6AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $571 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,600 on April 17, 4AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $475 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 16, 11PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $82 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 17, 5AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $374 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 74,000 on April 17, 8AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $481 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 72,800 on April 17, 2AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 17, 5AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $551 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,000 on April 17, 9AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $341 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,400 on April 17, 3PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $499 | 17/04/2026 |