0x478F84FC5afd1DB86C5985c9C1092529613F6163-1772704798612

Sports 100% +$73 $700 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	90¢	99¢	+$32	win
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	73¢	96¢	+$15	win
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)	Marwan Rahiki	69¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 72% +$56 $17,310 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	63¢	84¢	+$117	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	32¢	24¢	$-1	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	25¢	6¢	+$3	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	84¢	96¢	+$31	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	71¢	94¢	+$56	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	81¢	90¢	+$3	win

Crypto 100% +$35 $35 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?	No	50¢	100¢	+$35	win

Tech 100% +$33 $32 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$33	win

Mentions 50% +$22 $100 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	48¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Finance 50% +$19 $271 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	69¢	$-0	loss

Other 68% +$12 $4,005 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	22¢	9¢	$-18	loss
Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	64¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	No	79¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?	No	69¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	60¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win

Esports 55% +$4 $591 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1	Ninjas in Pyjamas	37¢	0¢	$-19	loss
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	50¢	100¢	$-6	loss
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1	Oh My God	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LNG Esports	51¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Natus Vincere	62¢	100¢	+$17	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	71¢	0¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	59¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	71¢	100¢	+$34	win

Weather 100% +$0 $81 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-3 $34 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	75¢	68¢	$-3	loss

Elections 25% $-10 $431 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	71¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	93¢	95¢	$-7	loss
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Politics 80% $-99 $5,270 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	87¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	90¢	99¢	+$23	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	94¢	90¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Air force" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Trump say "Gay" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during dinner with Dutch royals?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 71% $-156 $806 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Dandelion" - Ella Langley debut week album sales be at least 140k?	Yes	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	40¢	0¢	$-187	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$3	win