Win rate
52.9%
1038 W / 924 L
Total PnL
$789
realized $-3,885 · unrealized $4,673
Portfolio
$4,673
volume $293,366
Predictions
4,201
135.2/day · avg $70
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 84% +$960
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner | FULL SENSE | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | win |
| Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage | UNiTY esports | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | FOKUS | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner | UNO MILLE | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | win |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | EYEBALLERS | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs | illwill | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5 | Over | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs | BIG | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Politics 50% +$464
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026? | No | 28¢ | 1¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 69¢ | 40¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 14¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
Crypto 55% +$340
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 60¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Up | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Tech 100% +$235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 9? | No | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | win |
Elections 41% +$227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 53¢ | 46¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 46¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | No | 41¢ | 96¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | Yes | 25¢ | 4¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | 21¢ | 4¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | No | 26¢ | 44¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 30¢ | 91¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13¢ | 1¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Economy 67% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
Culture 67% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Sports 53% $-52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 86¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Utah | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Under | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Finance 33% $-129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 22¢ | $-7 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23? | Down | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19? | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10? | Down | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$10 | win |
Weather 41% $-151
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 30? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 30? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 17? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 16? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 14? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 13? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Other 46% $-243
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 37¢ | 76¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026? | No | 17¢ | 98¢ | +$172 | win |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | 19¢ | 6¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$8 | win |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | No | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$2 | win |
| Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 37¢ | +$7 | win |
Mentions 0% $-368
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
Geopolitics 44% $-1,398
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 30¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 35¢ | 18¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 46¢ | 78¢ | +$61 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 61¢ | 70¢ | +$17 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 54¢ | 22¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 54¢ | 22¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 65¢ | 30¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner | FULL SENSE | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$194 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 55.6¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Up | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 42.9¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 48.8¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Up | 49.8¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 70.9¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 67.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Up | 59.6¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Up | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Up | 69.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Up | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | Up | 73.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Down | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 23.9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 48.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Up | 75.5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Up | 81.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Up | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 61.1¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Up | 57.1¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 42.8¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Down | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Hugo Dellien | 40.9¢ | 100¢ | +$137 | $95 | 16/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | Kolkata Knight Riders | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 36.1¢ | 100¢ | +$415 | $234 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Utah | 46.1¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 66.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Down | 58.4¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 85.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $94 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 78.8¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $227 | 15/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48.6¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-14? | No | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Down | 42.6¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 48.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 42.7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | $192 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | Down | 30.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |