Win rate
86.1%
569 W / 92 L
Total PnL
$-714
realized $-1,245 · unrealized $530
Portfolio
$530
volume $78,623
Predictions
1,008
29.0/day · avg $78
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 92% +$59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega | FULL SENSE | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Disguised | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Metizport | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Team Vitality | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Weather 100% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on April 11? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 10? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 88% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Fury | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Celtics | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Heat | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Thunder | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 96% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Culture 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 57% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 77¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 75% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13? | Up | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10? | Down | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Bondioli | Daniel Altmaier | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 68% $-80
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcan | Alex Molcan | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd Harris | Lloyd Harris | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 79% $-94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 72¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinato | Martin Landaluce | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 98¢ | $-10 | loss |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
Other 84% $-180
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? | No | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Solary | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BNK FearX Youth | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 76¢ | 56¢ | $-6 | loss |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Oh My God | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 80¢ | 80¢ | $-0 | loss |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Crypto 25% $-239
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Down | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| XRP Up or Down - March 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - March 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Solary | 63.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FULL SENSE vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega | FULL SENSE | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BNK FearX Youth | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Disguised | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 76.0¢ | 56¢ | $-6 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Oh My God | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 73.0¢ | 64¢ | $-3 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 77.6¢ | 80¢ | +$1 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | No | 79.0¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 80¢ | $-0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | Gen.G | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | Metizport | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Esprit Shōnen | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Team Vitality | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vitality.Bee vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | TLN Pirates | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | Over | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | Dplus KIA | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | All Gamers | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $56 | 15/04/2026 |
| Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinato | Martin Landaluce | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 15/04/2026 |