NoTokenAlpha

Geopolitics 80% +$265 $390 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?	No	88¢	97¢	+$2	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	88¢	90¢	+$0	win
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?	No	89¢	94¢	+$1	win
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?	No	92¢	78¢	$-3	loss
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30?	No	95¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	94¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	91¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Weather 100% +$7 $61 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?	No	88¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Mentions 100% +$4 $122 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	90¢	90¢	+$0	win
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	91¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 61% +$0 $849 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	No	87¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 260m?	No	93¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	95¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	87¢	70¢	$-4	loss
Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	91¢	87¢	$-1	loss
Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	No	91¢	78¢	$-3	loss
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	93¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	win

Economy 50% $-0 $61 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	No	94¢	96¢	+$1	win

Finance 33% $-0 $142 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $600 in April?	No	94¢	91¢	$-1	loss
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?	No	93¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	No	87¢	76¢	$-2	loss
Will Madison Air’s market cap be less than $12.0B at market close on IPO day?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win

Crypto 75% $-4 $174 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No token launch by April 30	No	95¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?	No	90¢	74¢	$-4	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?	No	88¢	55¢	$-11	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 13-19?	No	89¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 13-19?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 16?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 6-12?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 75% $-10 $82 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	97¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	97¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	89¢	86¢	$-11	loss
Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 68% $-11 $509 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	No	88¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the next White House press briefing?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Leavitt say "Egg" during the next White House press briefing?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?	No	91¢	89¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	87¢	53¢	$-8	loss
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?	No	92¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	No	97¢	98¢	+$0	win
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?	No	96¢	97¢	+$0	win

Culture 67% $-11 $61 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	92¢	93¢	+$0	win
Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in April?	No	94¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	No	88¢	0¢	$-12	loss

Tech 64% $-34 $229 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla reach $435 in April?	No	95¢	70¢	$-16	loss
Will Google reach $355 in April?	No	97¢	60¢	$-17	loss
Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?	No	88¢	61¢	$-6	loss
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	90¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 17, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026?	No	89¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	No	93¢	99¢	+$1	win