Win rate
60.8%
406 W / 262 L
Total PnL
$-6,360
realized $-9,495 · unrealized $3,135
Portfolio
$3,135
volume $304,618
Predictions
2,568
58.7/day · avg $119
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 0% $-41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Politics 0% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $-50 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-930
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 9¢ | 100¢ | $-554 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
Weather 61% $-5,384
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 19? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 19? | No | 92¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on April 19? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 17? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on April 17? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 17? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 17? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 17? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 17? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 17? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 17? | No | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 17? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 17? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 17? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 17? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 17? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on April 17? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 17? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 17? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 17? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on April 17? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on April 17? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 17? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 17? | No | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17? | No | 78.0¢ | 84¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 79.4¢ | 88¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 17? | No | 82.0¢ | 73¢ | $-2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |