PrimeirosRicos

Economy 75% +$6,803 $103,259 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	7¢	4¢	$-127	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	3¢	$-65	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	99¢	+$1,885	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2,046	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1,318	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$62	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$67	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-49	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$205	win

Other 75% +$1,386 $12,586 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	19¢	4¢	$-55	loss
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	82¢	86¢	+$70	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	66¢	99¢	+$645	win
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$13	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$79	win
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$502	win
Starmer out in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-40	loss

Elections 52% +$45 $18,838 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-197	loss
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	36¢	32¢	$-12	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	75¢	75¢	$-0	loss
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	82¢	80¢	$-2	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	90¢	89¢	$-1	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	59¢	16¢	+$183	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$155	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	13¢	1¢	$-54	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	89¢	90¢	$-4	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$20 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$20	win

Crypto 100% +$4 $90 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 100% +$4 $51 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$4	win

Culture 50% $-135 $8,657 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-894	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-1,054	loss
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$96	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-518	loss

Sports 57% $-411 $3,716 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	86¢	96¢	$-305	loss
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$27	win
Falcons vs. Patriots	Patriots	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?	No	74¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	84¢	100¢	$-89	loss
Thunder vs. Pacers	Thunder	72¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$10	win

Politics 67% $-676 $17,981 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-996	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-363	loss
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Jeremy Allen White be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-150	loss
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$164	win