Win rate
55.0%
11 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$885
realized $-1,414 · unrealized $2,299
Portfolio
$2,299
volume $47,401
Predictions
20
0.5/day · avg $2,370
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 60% +$628
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$667 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-731 | loss |
Other 40% +$225
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
Recent Trades (20)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,100 | $1,100 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | $1,770 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | $600 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $88 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $310 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $1,400 | 20/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $3,254 | 01/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | $1,000 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $1,124 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $1,446 | 31/01/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-322 | $500 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-731 | $1,000 | 01/01/1970 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 54¢ | $-9 | $1,000 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,265 | $1,907 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 77.8¢ | 76¢ | $-23 | $1,332 | 31/05/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,008 | $1,184 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$667 | $483 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-415 | $1,842 | 30/06/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $269 | 31/12/2026 |