fdg

Other 44% +$6,062 $30,296 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	81¢	94¢	+$19	win
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	98¢	89¢	$-1	loss
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	77¢	94¢	+$4	win
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$61	win
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	1¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	No	55¢	99¢	+$131	win
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	Yes	40¢	1¢	$-26	loss
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Yes	25¢	32¢	+$12	win
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in April?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$104	win

Geopolitics 41% +$2,105 $28,738 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	10¢	9¢	$-25	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	75¢	78¢	+$38	win
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$2,331	win
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	64¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	Yes	25¢	16¢	$-289	loss
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-4	loss
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	30¢	22¢	$-92	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	47¢	38¢	$-94	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	61¢	62¢	$-153	loss
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?	Yes	10¢	3¢	$-120	loss

Sports 71% +$1,104 $9,651 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?	No	67¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$515	win
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$240	win
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?	No	77¢	100¢	+$114	win
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	34¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	No	32¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Magic vs. Thunder	Magic	3¢	0¢	$-307	loss

Tech 50% +$92 $193 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?	No	34¢	100¢	+$147	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-55	loss

Weather 0% +$0 $600 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)	Northern Iowa Panthers	50¢	0¢	+$0	—

Elections 50% $-165 $4,321 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52¢	46¢	$-150	loss
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	6¢	4¢	+$16	win
Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during the Black History Month reception?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Politics 31% $-303 $8,647 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	26¢	22¢	$-25	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	24¢	27¢	+$12	win
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	26¢	18¢	$-13	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	69¢	92¢	+$30	win
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-91	loss

Mentions 24% $-913 $4,160 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	29¢	74¢	+$43	win
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-193	loss
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-182	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-33	loss

Finance 25% $-1,054 $2,612 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-881	loss
Will the NYSE trading floor be closed on Monday?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-5	loss
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	8¢	2¢	$-18	loss
Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	No	95¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	55¢	40¢	$-9	loss
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?	No	91¢	97¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	97¢	95¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 24% $-1,112 $4,873 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	19¢	20¢	+$3	win
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	Yes	18¢	26¢	+$14	win
Will XRP reach $1.50 April 13-19?	Yes	13¢	100¢	+$291	win
Will Solana reach $90 April 13-19?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 19?	Yes	16¢	5¢	$-140	loss
Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-174	loss
Will BNB dip to $400 in March?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Death" 3+ times during press conference?	No	35¢	100¢	+$329	win
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-83	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?	No	5¢	0¢	$-496	loss

Culture 19% $-3,916 $15,476 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-269	loss
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Will Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-751	loss
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	No	79¢	100¢	$-1,655	loss