Win rate
20.0%
19 W / 76 L
Total PnL
$-3,005
realized $-7,461 · unrealized $4,456
Portfolio
$4,456
volume $255,949
Predictions
151
2.6/day · avg $1,695
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/02/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 27% +$597
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | Yes | 8¢ | 16¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 5? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Down | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
Other 39% $-81
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 52¢ | +$55 | win |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Yes | 40¢ | 20¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Clavicular arrested again by April 30? | Yes | 20¢ | 9¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | Yes | 20¢ | 4¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,727 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more? | Yes | 49¢ | 88¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 0% $-119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Tech 0% $-145
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 14¢ | 12¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 25? | Down | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 25? | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Finance 0% $-348
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25? | Down | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-288 | loss |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 1? | Up | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Economy 0% $-508
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-429 | loss |
Sports 21% $-1,057
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Bulls | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Pistons | Warriors | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | win |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Thunder | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Celtics | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-329 | loss |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | Raptors | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-354 | loss |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 24? | Down | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
Geopolitics 11% $-1,799
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 38¢ | 24¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | 20¢ | 10¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 45¢ | 18¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 14¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 17¢ | 2¢ | $-142 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 2¢ | +$240 | $333 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-458 | $458 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,727 | $140 | 13/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $42 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 5? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $68 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | $272 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Bulls | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 03/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? | No | 21.1¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | No | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $22 | 20/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Pistons | Warriors | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $143 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 88¢ | +$8 | $40 | 14/03/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | $100 | 26/02/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Thunder | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | $266 | 26/02/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Celtics | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-329 | $329 | 26/02/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | Raptors | 27.6¢ | 0¢ | $-354 | $354 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $80 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 25/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25? | Down | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $-288 | $301 | 25/02/2026 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $29 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | Yes | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 19/12/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-429 | $505 | 10/12/2025 |
| Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. VMI Keydets | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 09/12/2025 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08? | Yes | 54.9¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | $194 | 08/12/2025 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $42 | 08/12/2025 |
| Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | $138 | 08/12/2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 1? | Up | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 01/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $41 | 28/11/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Down | 20.6¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $28 | 27/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 27/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 27.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 26/11/2025 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 25? | Down | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 25/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $41 | 25/11/2025 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 25? | Up | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 25/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Up | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 25/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 25/11/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 25/11/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Up | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 25/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 25/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 25/11/2025 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 24? | Down | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $20 | 24/11/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $21 | 21/11/2025 |