Bodytobody

Crypto 100% +$2 $246 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	37¢	0¢	+$2	win

Weather 50% +$1 $225 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	63¢	64¢	+$1	win
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	89¢	90¢	+$0	win
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	93¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss

Economy 50% $-0 $54 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?	No	96¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	81¢	79¢	+$0	win

Tech 25% $-12 $1,613 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	92¢	92¢	+$0	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	77¢	78¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	62¢	62¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	93¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	96¢	95¢	$-0	loss
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026	No	98¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	72¢	69¢	$-7	loss
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	96¢	95¢	$-0	loss

Culture 14% $-30 $2,043 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	96¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	78¢	78¢	$-6	loss
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	97¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	95¢	4¢	$-24	loss
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	54¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will "Untold: Jail Blazers" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	87¢	97¢	+$3	win
Will "Thrash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	95¢	88¢	$-0	loss

Politics 10% $-136 $6,000 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	70¢	66¢	+$0	win
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	51¢	48¢	$-5	loss
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	87¢	84¢	$-15	loss
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	92¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	98¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?	No	89¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	53¢	58¢	$-2	loss
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	Yes	9¢	8¢	$-7	loss
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	Yes	35¢	34¢	$-2	loss
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	Yes	88¢	88¢	$-0	loss

Geopolitics 15% $-142 $5,756 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	53¢	52¢	$-9	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	58¢	58¢	$-3	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	+$0	—
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	63¢	55¢	$-1	loss
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	8¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	97¢	98¢	$-5	loss
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21¢	20¢	$-40	loss
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	84¢	84¢	$-0	loss
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	No	86¢	88¢	+$0	win

Esports 13% $-202 $4,220 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?	No	50¢	51¢	+$1	win
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Pcific Esports	15¢	16¢	+$0	—
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Global Esports	42¢	44¢	$-2	loss
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Under	52¢	55¢	$-12	loss
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	Colossal Gaming	60¢	100¢	+$0	—
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	27¢	0¢	$-2	loss
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	GMBLERS ESPORTS	57¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner	Paper Rex	80¢	100¢	$-8	loss
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Disguised	56¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	51¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Sports 3% $-209 $11,617 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	89¢	86¢	$-16	loss
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	79¢	83¢	$-6	loss
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	No	99¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	95¢	97¢	$-1	loss
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	No	98¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova	Elina Svitolina	53¢	54¢	$-10	loss
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	59¢	58¢	$-1	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	90¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?	No	91¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	49¢	0¢	+$0	—

Elections 6% $-219 $8,394 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	73¢	72¢	+$0	—
Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?	No	94¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?	No	94¢	95¢	+$0	—
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	Yes	91¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	93¢	93¢	+$0	—
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?	Yes	92¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?	No	94¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?	No	87¢	86¢	$-3	loss
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?	No	7¢	6¢	$-10	loss
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?	Yes	87¢	84¢	$-4	loss

Finance 0% $-269 $6,151 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	16¢	16¢	$-13	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	94¢	94¢	$-15	loss
Rippling IPO before 2027?	Yes	15¢	12¢	$-8	loss
Brex IPO before 2027?	No	96¢	95¢	$-6	loss
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	98¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-5	loss
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	23¢	22¢	$-11	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	90¢	92¢	$-5	loss
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	$-1	loss

Other 9% $-1,162 $46,198 vol · 228 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	70¢	73¢	$-7	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	90¢	91¢	$-9	loss
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	11¢	9¢	$-31	loss
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	93¢	93¢	$-2	loss
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	83¢	84¢	+$2	win
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes	31¢	18¢	+$0	—
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	—
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	95¢	96¢	$-0	loss