dirtymouse

Weather 93% +$36 $12,376 vol · 121 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 14?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 100% +$17 $96 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?	No	85¢	100¢	+$17	win

Politics 100% +$2 $45 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 50% $-44 $78 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	No	75¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Elections 0% $-81 $206 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	39¢	52¢	+$0	—
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?	No	33¢	0¢	$-73	loss

Crypto 54% $-101 $3,094 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	48¢	100¢	+$22	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	72¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	43¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	65¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	54¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	72¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	79¢	100¢	+$5	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	39¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	48¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	58¢	100¢	+$22	win

Geopolitics 33% $-103 $908 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	84¢	100¢	$-2	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?	No	79¢	100¢	+$11	win
US military action against Iran before July?	No	67¢	0¢	$-100	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$0	win
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Other 44% $-112 $848 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	81¢	87¢	$-2	loss
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of April 13 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	50¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines	Michigan Wolverines	50¢	100¢	+$25	win
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	50¢	0¢	+$7	win
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils	Connecticut Huskies	50¢	100¢	$-63	loss
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines	Tennessee Volunteers	50¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?	No	62¢	100¢	+$15	win