Chegildek

Esports 55% +$134 $2,030 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether - Map 1 Winner	Team Aether	37¢	100¢	+$37	win
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	LOUD	54¢	100¢	+$137	win
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	54¢	0¢	$-144	loss
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Team Aether (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffs	LAG Gaming	50¢	0¢	$-169	loss
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season	F9 EICAR	49¢	100¢	+$5	win
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage	CGN Esports	73¢	100¢	+$13	win
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winner	Caldya Esport	51¢	0¢	$-172	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Natus Vincere	61¢	100¢	+$33	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	TheMongolz	43¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner	BBL Esports	41¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Crypto 60% +$7 $148 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 16-22?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 17?	No	42¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?	No	45¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?	No	90¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Economy 0% $-11 $52 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	No	84¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-7	loss

Culture 40% $-27 $815 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	83¢	100¢	$-57	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	No	88¢	100¢	$-72	loss

Geopolitics 47% $-45 $26,493 vol · 113 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	83¢	90¢	+$0	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	82¢	86¢	+$0	—
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	84¢	91¢	+$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	63¢	82¢	$-4	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	43¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	13¢	0¢	+$63	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	74¢	94¢	$-5	loss
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-96	loss

Sports 55% $-69 $1,546 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15¢	17¢	+$-0	—
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	50¢	0¢	$-70	loss
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Tatiana Suarez	61¢	100¢	+$43	win
UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Chris Padilla	86¢	50¢	$-22	loss
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Loopy Godínez	38¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	77¢	100¢	+$19	win
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	41¢	100¢	+$41	win
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	62¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Grizzlies vs. Bulls	Bulls	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Warriors vs. Knicks	Knicks	81¢	100¢	+$7	win

Mentions 42% $-81 $476 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	43¢	88¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	$-37	loss
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	86¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Tech 14% $-106 $353 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	78¢	70¢	$-1	loss
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	91¢	95¢	$-23	loss
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	No	90¢	98¢	+$3	win
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	85¢	84¢	$-28	loss
GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026?	No	95¢	97¢	$-13	loss

Politics 27% $-568 $5,580 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	59¢	78¢	$-2	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	65¢	40¢	$-2	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	56¢	76¢	$-17	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	81¢	68¢	$-21	loss
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	90¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	76¢	75¢	$-30	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	54¢	50¢	$-5	loss
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	24¢	25¢	+$35	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	49¢	50¢	+$3	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	27¢	6¢	+$10	win

Other 47% $-698 $20,329 vol · 180 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	78¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	51¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	83¢	94¢	+$4	win
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	88¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	90¢	82¢	$-3	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	64¢	72¢	$-15	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	54¢	68¢	$-8	loss
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-24	loss
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	82¢	81¢	$-149	loss

Elections 38% $-714 $24,408 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	37¢	34¢	$-1	loss
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	42¢	38¢	+$7	win
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	64¢	62¢	$-7	loss
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?	No	86¢	80¢	$-6	loss
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	36¢	37¢	+$3	win
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	67¢	63¢	$-1	loss
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	97¢	100¢	$-101	loss
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-96	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?	No	81¢	100¢	$-23	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	93¢	100¢	$-89	loss

Weather 4% $-1,284 $3,928 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?	No	85¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 10?	Yes	85¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on April 10?	No	89¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$99	win
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 3?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 3?	No	98¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 3?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 3?	No	98¢	100¢	$-68	loss
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 3?	No	95¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on April 3?	No	95¢	100¢	$-33	loss