Win rate
43.4%
46 W / 60 L
Total PnL
$161
realized $-878 · unrealized $1,039
Portfolio
$1,039
volume $32,624
Predictions
191
7.2/day · avg $171
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 87% +$217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Nets vs. Bucks | Bucks | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Spread: Warriors (-13.5) | Kings | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Thunder | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Other 56% +$91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 100% +$88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 22% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 53¢ | 63¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | No | 93¢ | 86¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 87¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$58 | win |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 83¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 37¢ | 31¢ | $-1 | loss |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 88¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 2¢ | $-9 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 78¢ | $-5 | loss |
Tech 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 73¢ | 73¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 12% $-225
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 91¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 58¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-09 House seat? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 45¢ | 46¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? | No | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 60¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $72 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 87.8¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | $94 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 2¢ | $-9 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $72 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 76.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 76.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 80.0¢ | 1¢ | $-0 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 71.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $95 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | No | 17.1¢ | 91¢ | $-4 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $72 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 79.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Bucks | Bucks | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | No | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | No | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 79.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09? | Yes | 36.3¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $45 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 85.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $80 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-09? | Yes | 36.3¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $45 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 09/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $61 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $56 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-13.5) | Kings | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $36 | 08/04/2026 |