Win rate
88.3%
481 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$372
realized $-7,482 · unrealized $7,854
Portfolio
$7,854
volume $181,043
Predictions
966
22.5/day · avg $187
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$434
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$229 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$171 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Crypto 98% +$154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 11? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 61% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Heat | Spurs | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Thunder vs. 76ers | Thunder | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Lakers vs. Magic | Lakers | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Pelicans | Cavaliers | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Jazz | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Mavericks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Hawks | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Thunder | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Other 40% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Norway win on 2025-10-14? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Tech 80% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $175? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
Weather 89% $-721
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | No | 39.7¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $364 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 17? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $348 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 17? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $289 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $264 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $527 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $265 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $111 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $85 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 16? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $83 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 16? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $215 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 16? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 16? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 16? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 16? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 16? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $162 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 16? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 15? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 15? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $129 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $277 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 15? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 15? | Yes | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |