Win rate
98.9%
1770 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$5,301
realized $4,699 · unrealized $603
Portfolio
$603
volume $5,133,007
Predictions
2,070
22.4/day · avg $2,480
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 99% +$3,875
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Over $16M committed to the Space public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Over $3M committed to the Foresee public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Blackpink release a song in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
Politics 100% +$1,855
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Kuwait" during the FII PRIORITY Summit? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Cabinet meeting on March 26? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Make a Deal" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Biden" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" during Kentucky visit? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday press conference? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during Miami address? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 99% +$1,587
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 41¢ | 7¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Nagasaki Velca vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 97% +$439
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTT - Women's Singles: Miu Hirano vs Fu Yu | Hirano | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Belleville Senators | Cleveland Monsters | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Israel | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Katerina Janatova (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Skiathlon at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will John Oliver say "Israel" or "Gaza" on Last Week Tonight? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 96% +$359
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party for the People loose any seats in Japanese snap election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Conservative Party of Japan loose any seats in Japanese snap election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win between 50 and 74 seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Japan Innovation Party win between 35 and 39 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Finance 100% +$216
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg - The Studio win Best Director for a Comedy Series at the 78th DGA Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Beth McCarthy-Miller - SNL50: The Homecoming Court win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will BlackRock say "Stablecoin" during earnings call? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will JPMorgan say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during earnings call? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 96% +$91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Google" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will ON Semiconductor say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon say "Rainier" during earnings call? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Amazon say "Black Friday" during earnings call? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hurricanes win? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 16? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "World Champion" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.K.'s September–November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥5.4%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 97% $-3,348
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Styles release an album in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Charlie Hunnam win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hamnet win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunners | Tucson Roadrunners | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $258 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Fijian Drua win? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $134 | 18/04/2026 |
| FK Dukla Praha vs. MFK Karviná: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,302 | 18/04/2026 |
| Riesen Ludwigsburg vs. Alba Berlin | Alba Berlin | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,072 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ratiopharm Ulm vs. Brose Bamberg | Brose Bamberg | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,028 | 18/04/2026 |
| Alvark Tokyo vs. Shimane Susanoo Magic | Alvark Tokyo | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $517 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. Ibaraki Robots | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $381 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Chiefs win? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $205 | 18/04/2026 |
| Osaka Evessa vs. Nagoya Fighting Eagles | Osaka Evessa | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $166 | 18/04/2026 |
| Toyama Grouses vs. Utsunomiya Brex | Utsunomiya Brex | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $105 | 18/04/2026 |
| Regatas vs. Olimpico | Regatas | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 18/04/2026 |
| AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Charlotte Checkers | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $441 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Hechen Li vs Kazuhiro Yoshimura | Li | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $509 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Huize Yang vs Yee Lok Lam | Yang | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,006 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Honoka Hashimoto vs Eun-Seo Kim | Hashimoto | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $111 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Koen Pang vs Jinbao Ma | Ma | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 16/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Ziyu Zhu vs Miyu Nagasaki | Zhu | 69.5¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $139 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Peng Xiang vs Luka Mladenovic | Mladenovic | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $723 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Miu Hirano vs Fu Yu | Hirano | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Cedric Meissner vs Tomislav Pucar | Pucar | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Manika Batra vs Miyuu Kihara | Batra | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Izaac Quek vs Nicholas Lum | Quek | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $428 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Lin Qian Ser vs Yuxuan Qin | Qin | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers | Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $391 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Men's Singles: Yang Sun vs Kwan To Yiu | Sun | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Xialian Ni vs Xunyao Shi | Shi | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Olimpico vs. La Union | Olimpico | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $178 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,949 | 12/04/2026 |
| Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. Levanga Hokkaido | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $663 | 12/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,738 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Vijay Singh finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $969 | 12/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $920 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks have the worst record in the NBA? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $893 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix | Ibaraki Robots | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $371 | 12/04/2026 |
| Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Gunma Crane Thunders | Gunma Crane Thunders | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $284 | 12/04/2026 |
| Forca Lleida CE vs. La Laguna Tenerife | Forca Lleida CE | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $228 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nagasaki Velca vs. Nagoya Fighting Eagles | Nagasaki Velca | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $85 | 12/04/2026 |
| Regatas vs. Obras | Regatas | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 12/04/2026 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste vs. Argentino | Ferro Carril Oeste | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | Cleveland Guardians | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fred Couples finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Sabine Winter vs Yidi Wang | Winter | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $146 | 11/04/2026 |