Win rate
51.1%
203 W / 194 L
Total PnL
$-1,225
realized $-2,227 · unrealized $1,002
Portfolio
$1,002
volume $678,324
Predictions
433
2.2/day · avg $1,567
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 71% +$674
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group A | Bebop | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | FUT Esports | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | FOKUS | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Natus Vincere | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | G2 | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$157 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs | Oxuji Esports | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage | Eternal Fire | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Counter-Strike: HOTU vs magic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | magic | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs | Nongshim Esports Academy | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Counter-Strike: ReThink vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs | Imperial Academy | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Elections 57% +$608
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$1,081 | win |
| Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Bitcoin new all time high before election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-414 | loss |
Economy 40% +$257
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$341 | win |
Geopolitics 71% +$181
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will JD Vance say "Israel" during the debate? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Mentions 100% +$29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
Finance 50% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
Culture 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Adolescence: Limited Series' be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Weather 0% $-52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Leolia Jeanjean | Leolia Jeanjean | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Crypto 42% $-650
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Down | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$218 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Down | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Up | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Down | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Down | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Politics 41% $-657
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Elon out of Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-220 | loss |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | win |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-295 | loss |
| Will Biden pardon Fauci? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| <180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Will Trump say "China" 7 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Will Trump say "Michigan" 20 or more times during Michigan rally on Nov 4? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump say "Hamas" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
Sports 50% $-1,030
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 33¢ | 46¢ | +$13 | win |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 43¢ | 6¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 56¢ | 62¢ | +$10 | win |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$306 | win |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | win |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Arizona Diamondbacks | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Houston Astros | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Other 57% $-1,266
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
| Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
| First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cuba | Cuba | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Elias Ymer vs Coleman Wong | Elias Ymer | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Hersonissos: Maximus Jones vs Tom Gentzsch | Tom Gentzsch | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Merida Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsa | Cristina Bucsa | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-02? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | $212 | 17/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$293 | $250 | 14/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 19.0¢ | 100¢ | +$324 | $76 | 13/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | Golden Knights | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $53 | 12/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | Seattle Mariners | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,196 | $1,871 | 11/04/2026 |
| Devils vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 11/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | $200 | 07/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Kings | Predators | 39.4¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $117 | 07/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Rockets | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $122 | 06/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-789 | $800 | 06/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | Minnesota Twins | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $92 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Down | 31.4¢ | 100¢ | +$218 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-05? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $44 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Oilers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 40.2¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Devils | Canadiens | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Pistons | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Panthers | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Spurs | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $385 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 04/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Timberwolves | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-590 | $600 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Magic | Suns | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $138 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Up | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Down | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 30/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Warriors | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 30/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Celtics | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $208 | 29/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Raptors | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$184 | $216 | 29/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group A | Bebop | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | $51 | 29/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Nets | Kings | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $153 | 29/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Bucks | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 29/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Pistons | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | +$447 | $453 | 28/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Predators | Canadiens | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $108 | 28/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $144 | 26/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Hornets | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $156 | 26/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | Pistons | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $65 | 26/03/2026 |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | $216 | 26/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 25/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Magic | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 25/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $202 | 18/03/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Jazz | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 16/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Nuggets | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Timberwolves | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $100 | 14/03/2026 |